Libertad 1-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.25/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.92
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.3 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
231 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
21.06.2025 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 3-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
25.02.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
17.09.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
30.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
27.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.13 xG 0.37
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
221 Passes 295
23 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Libertad edged past Tecnico Universitario 1-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 15 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.13 to 0.37.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 1.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Libertad 1-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Libertad 34%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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