Macara 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Jul 2026

📅15/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.30/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.51
-29% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.0 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
204 Passes 245
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
23.08.2025 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.05.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-3 HT 1-2 Macara Macara EKV1
03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
11.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.09.2022 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
2-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.37 xG 1.45
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 299
17 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macara vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara edged past Mushuc Runa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.37 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Macara and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Macara vs Mushuc Runa?

Macara 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Macara 47%, draw 28%, Mushuc Runa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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