Parnu JK Vaprus 8-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.70/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.56
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
29.03.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-5 HT 0-3 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
18.09.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
02.08.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
09.03.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
8-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 11
14 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus ran out comfortable winners over JK Tammeka Tartu 8-1. Half-time: 4-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 57% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 43%, shots finished 25-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.83 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Parnu JK Vaprus 8-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 49%, draw 23%, JK Tammeka Tartu 28%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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