Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Al Gharafa v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Gharafa 4-2 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa got the better of Umm Salal 4-2. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) landed.
On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in Al Gharafa's favour, shots finished 35-13, expected goals 3.91 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Al Gharafa against 1.83 for Umm Salal.
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Result & Final Score
Al Gharafa 4 - 2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 64%, draw 19%, Umm Salal 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.