Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.74
Over
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.85
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.88
6+
12%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.27
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.06
X/2
15%
6.4
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.2pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.43
-6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.2 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.07 xG 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
311 Passes 462
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2026 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse Japonya - J1 100 Year Vision Lig
16.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
02.07.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-5 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
06.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
09.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.34 xG 0.78
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
165 Passes 318
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Yokohama F. Marinos made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.34 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shimizu S-Pulse.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 2.83 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 36%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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