Urawa Red Diamonds 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.6
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
19%
3.2
6+
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.61
1/2
10%
23.35
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
11%
7.76
X/2
19%
4.75
X/X
13%
5.03
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.63
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 52%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
1.02/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.94
-29% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.6 Crosses 24.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
25.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.11.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-4
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.15 xG 3.09
3 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
245 Passes 266
10 Box Touches 48
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima cruised past Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 3-26, expected goals 0.15 to 3.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 31%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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