Avispa Fukuoka 3-0 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.75
Over
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.79
6+
11%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.92
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
11%
5.71
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.86
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.66
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.5 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 2.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
15.02.2026 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-4 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.16 xG 0.73
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
162 Passes 449
17 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka ran out comfortable winners over Cerezo Osaka 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.17 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka 3-0 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 34%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ BTTS Yes
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