Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
Fagiano Okayama 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics
Fagiano Okayama edged past V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.36 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.83 for V-Varen Nagasaki.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Fagiano Okayama 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 45%, draw 26%, V-Varen Nagasaki 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.