V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
V-Varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
3-0
HT 1-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki nicked a narrow win over Fagiano Okayama 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day V-Varen Nagasaki made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 49% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.00 for Fagiano Okayama.
What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?
V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 31%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.