FC Tokyo 0-3 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2026

FC Tokyo
0-3 HT 0-1
JEF United
📅06/05/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

FC Tokyo vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Tokyo v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
2.05/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
+37% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.0 Crosses 18.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

FC Tokyo vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY JEF United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.72 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
386 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2026 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
10.07.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JPK
17.11.2010 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JPK
22.11.2009 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
20.05.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
18.04.2009 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP

FC Tokyo 0-3 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-3
AWAY JEF United
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Tokyo carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 65% of the ball to JEF United's 35%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs JEF United?

FC Tokyo 0-3 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 68%, draw 19%, JEF United 13%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tokyo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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