Machida Zelvia 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.50
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.0 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2026 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 HT 1-3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
23.08.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
20.07.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
15.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
12.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.73 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
260 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia got the better of Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 45% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 55%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Machida Zelvia 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 53%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
6 May 2026
07:00 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
07:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs JEF United Analysis →
09:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →