Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +38%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.16
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.3 Crosses 20.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 269
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2026 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
16.11.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JPK
20.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
02.07.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
08.02.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JSK
05.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 HT 1-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.82 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
334 Passes 213
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 58% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.82 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5
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