Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.29
-18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.5 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
243 Passes 221
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2026 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.79 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
177 Passes 311
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Kyoto Sanga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 40% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.79 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.67 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 33%, draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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