Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.60
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.7 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
364 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2026 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
09.11.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-4 HT 0-3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
26.06.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
12.03.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
04.12.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
3.07 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 51% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 49%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.07 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 2.17 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 37%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
6 May 2026
07:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs JEF United Analysis →
09:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
10:00 Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →