Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
11%
4.94
X/2
12%
6.85
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1
7%
23.65
2/2
15%
4.77
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
+0% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.3 Crosses 17.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.97 xG 2.31
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
266 Passes 569
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
02.07.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-5 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
06.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
09.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
30.05.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.05.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 5-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.34 xG 2.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
489 Passes 250
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos beat Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Yokohama F. Marinos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 64% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 36%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.34 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 3.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 40%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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