Kashima Antlers 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.78
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.39
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
15%
3.87
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
5.81
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.27/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.06
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.7 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JPK
06.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.10.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.58 xG 1.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
467 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Avispa Fukuoka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 63% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.58 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashima Antlers 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 41%, draw 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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