Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
11%
3.86
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
5.36
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.87
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.1 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.66 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
240 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 0-2 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
28.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
21.04.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.74 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
234 Passes 343
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga squeezed past Tokyo Verdy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 44% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 56%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.83 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 41%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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