Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.49
X/2
9%
7.03
X/X
12%
4.11
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
8%
5.66
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
+2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.7 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
349 Passes 323
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JPK
09.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.10 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 50% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 50%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.10 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.00 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 48%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
16 Aug 2025
12:00 Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
12:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →
13:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
13:00 Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
13:00 Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →