Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.2
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
17%
5.33
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.53
X/2
10%
6.73
X/X
14%
3.71
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.72
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.50
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.6 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.08.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
11.05.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
09.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
11.05.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.70 xG 1.43
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
250 Passes 294
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Rubin Kazan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.70 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rostov and 1.17 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?

Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rostov 41%, draw 28%, Rubin Kazan 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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