Krasnodar 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.69
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
26%
3.14
6+
9%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
16%
4.08
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
9%
5.78
2/1
8%
22.05
2/2
10%
8.91
2/X
5%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.05 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.67
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.6 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
305 Passes 205
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2026 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
04.04.2026 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
19.04.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUSK
02.10.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 HT 2-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.03 xG 1.16
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
395 Passes 235
25 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.03 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krasnodar and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krasnodar 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 54%, draw 22%, FC Akhmat Grozny 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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