Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2026

📅15/09/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valencia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Valencia Valencia 3-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
20.10.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.05.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
22.12.2024 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
24.07.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
05.05.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
PREVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Deportivo Alaves edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Deportivo Alaves have won 4 of their last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for Valencia.

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Kick-off Time

Deportivo Alaves play Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/09/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia is a Deportivo Alaves win at about 53% probability, priced 1.76 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Deportivo Alaves 53%, draw 28%, Valencia 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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