Etiyopya 0-3 Gine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.31
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.28
6+
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-14.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.64/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.75
-1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -60%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
7.8 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etiyopya
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Gine
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
0.99 xG 2.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
506 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Gine Gine 4-1 HT 3-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
27.03.2023 Etiyopya Etiyopya 2-3 HT 1-2 Gine Gine AFUK
24.03.2023 Gine Gine 2-0 HT 1-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
04.09.2011 Gine Gine 1-0 HT 1-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
05.09.2010 Etiyopya Etiyopya 1-4 HT 1-2 Gine Gine AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etiyopya
0-3
AWAY Gine
1.53 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
417 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs Gine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine cruised past Etiyopya 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gine as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etiyopya had 54% of the ball to Gine's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.53 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gine led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Etiyopya and 2.80 for Gine.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs Gine?

Etiyopya 0-3 Gine in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs Gine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 24%, draw 29%, Gine 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gine), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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