Güney Sudan vs Uganda Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Güney Sudan v Uganda — Team-Based Signals
Güney Sudan vs Uganda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Uganda
AFUK
1-0
HT 0-0
Güney Sudan
AFUK
Güney Sudan 1-2 Uganda — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda nicked a narrow win over Güney Sudan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Uganda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Güney Sudan had 36% of the ball to Uganda's 64%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.26 to 2.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Uganda's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uganda led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Güney Sudan and 0.67 for Uganda.
What was the final score of Güney Sudan vs Uganda?
Güney Sudan 1-2 Uganda in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Güney Sudan vs Uganda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Güney Sudan 24%, draw 27%, Uganda 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.