Komorlar 1-1 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.48
Over
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.2
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
13%
5.66
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.0pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Komorlar EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 60%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.25/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.68
-23% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.0 Crosses 15.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Komorlar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tunus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.36 xG 0.64
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 15
210 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 Tunus Tunus 0-1 HT 0-0 Komorlar Komorlar AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Komorlar
1-1
AWAY Tunus
0.21 xG 1.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 520
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Komorlar vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Komorlar and Tunus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tunus at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Komorlar had 36% of the ball to Tunus's 64%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.21 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Komorlar vs Tunus?

Komorlar 1-1 Tunus in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 23%, draw 31%, Tunus 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tunus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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