Moritanya 0-1 Mısır — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.54
Over
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.36
2-3
36%
1.78
4-5
19%
5.13
6+
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moritanya EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır EU Bookmakers 56%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.04/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.79
+73% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
20.7 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moritanya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mısır
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.60 xG 1.18
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
169 Passes 524
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Mısır Mısır 2-0 HT 0-0 Moritanya Moritanya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moritanya
0-1
AWAY Mısır
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Moritanya vs Mısır
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır edged past Moritanya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Moritanya had 55% of the ball to Mısır's 45%, shots finished 7-4.

What was the final score of Moritanya vs Mısır?

Moritanya 0-1 Mısır in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moritanya vs Mısır?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 25%, draw 26%, Mısır 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Tanzanya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
00:00 Botsvana vs Yeşil Burun Adaları Analysis →
00:00 Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili Analysis →
00:00 Gine Bissau vs Mali Analysis →
00:00 Kongo vs Güney Afrika Analysis →
16:00 Lesotho vs Gabon Analysis →