Nijer 0-1 Angola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Nijer
0-1 HT 0-1
Angola
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.51
Over
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.23
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
15%
5.54
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijer EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Angola EU Bookmakers 61%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.05/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.34
-61% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
9.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijer
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Angola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.10 xG 2.31
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
209 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 39
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Angola Angola 2-0 HT 0-0 Nijer Nijer AFUK
08.06.2008 Nijer Nijer 1-2 HT 1-1 Angola Angola DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijer
0-1
AWAY Angola
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Nijer vs Angola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angola nicked a narrow win over Nijer 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Angola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nijer had 48% of the ball to Angola's 52%, shots finished 2-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Angola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nijer and 2.00 for Angola.

What was the final score of Nijer vs Angola?

Nijer 0-1 Angola in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijer vs Angola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Angola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nijer 26%, draw 27%, Angola 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Angola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Tanzanya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
00:00 Botsvana vs Yeşil Burun Adaları Analysis →
00:00 Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili Analysis →
00:00 Gine Bissau vs Mali Analysis →
00:00 Kongo vs Güney Afrika Analysis →
16:00 Lesotho vs Gabon Analysis →