Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-4 Fas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
22%
6.26
Away Pick
60%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.33
Over
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.81
No
55%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.77
2-3
39%
1.92
4-5
24%
2.82
6+
8%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.77 — our 29% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Fas win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
3%
+14.6pp
22%
Draw
12%
+10.2pp
60%
Away Win
84%
-24.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas EU Bookmakers 90%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.31/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.07
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
226 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
12.0 Crosses 27.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Fas
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.52 xG 2.46
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
144 Passes 566
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Fas Fas 5-0 HT 4-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
17.11.2020 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-2 HT 0-1 Fas Fas AFUK
13.11.2020 Fas Fas 4-1 HT 3-1 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
04.09.2011 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Fas Fas AFUK
05.09.2010 Fas Fas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
0-4
AWAY Fas
0.18 xG 2.94
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 489
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Fas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas ran out comfortable winners over Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti had 34% of the ball to Fas's 66%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.18 to 2.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti and 2.20 for Fas.

What was the final score of Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Fas?

Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-4 Fas in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Fas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 18%, draw 22%, Fas 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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