Bosna-Hersek 3-1 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.75
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
19%
5.57
X/2
11%
5.97
X/X
15%
4.21
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
8%
4.19
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
37%
+11.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
34%
-9.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.20
-86% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
Crosses 10.7
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Romanya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.83 xG 2.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2025 Romanya Romanya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek DKE
26.09.2022 Romanya Romanya 4-1 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVUL
07.06.2022 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-0 HT 0-0 Romanya Romanya AVUL
03.06.2011 Romanya Romanya 3-0 HT 2-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVR
26.03.2011 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 2-1 HT 0-1 Romanya Romanya AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bosna-Hersek
3-1
AWAY Romanya
1.79 xG 1.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
413 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bosna-Hersek saw off Romanya 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bosna-Hersek as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bosna-Hersek had 59% of the ball to Romanya's 41%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.79 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bosna-Hersek had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bosna-Hersek and 1.60 for Romanya.

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek vs Romanya?

Bosna-Hersek 3-1 Romanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bosna-Hersek win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek 49%, draw 27%, Romanya 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bosna-Hersek), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bosna-Hersek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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