Danimarka 2-2 Belarus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.46
Over 2.5
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
2.6
No
40%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.17
2-3 Goals
31%
2.36
4-5 Goals
26%
2.35
6+ Goals
25%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1.11
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
5%
17.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
5%
31.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
4%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 5% vs market 0.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
85%
-7.0pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.3pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+8.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-8.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
34%
+25.7pp
40%
BTTS No
66%
-25.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.97/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.48
-21% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -35%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
542 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
33.9 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Belarus
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
4.72 xG 0.29
77% Ball Possession 23%
24 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
767 Passes 171
91% Pass Accuracy 67%
71 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2025 Belarus Belarus 0-6 HT 0-4 Danimarka Danimarka DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka
2-2
AWAY Belarus
2.88 xG 0.98
67% Ball Possession 33%
35 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
553 Passes 236
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
56 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Danimarka vs Belarus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka and Belarus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Danimarka carried 78% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Danimarka had 67% of the ball to Belarus's 33%, shots finished 35-7, expected goals 2.88 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Danimarka vs Belarus?

Danimarka 2-2 Belarus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka vs Belarus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Danimarka 78%, draw 12%, Belarus 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Danimarka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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