Yunanistan 3-2 İskoçya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
47%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 29% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.99
X/2
7%
7.13
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.36
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.99 — our 23% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.29/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.41
-79% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunanistan
1W-0D-2L
AWAY İskoçya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
469 Passes 370
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2025 İskoçya İskoçya 3-1 HT 0-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan DKE
23.03.2025 İskoçya İskoçya 0-3 HT 0-2 Yunanistan Yunanistan AVUL
20.03.2025 Yunanistan Yunanistan 0-1 HT 0-1 İskoçya İskoçya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunanistan
3-2
AWAY İskoçya
1.93 xG 2.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
369 Passes 379
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yunanistan vs İskoçya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunanistan edged past İskoçya 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yunanistan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunanistan had 49% of the ball to İskoçya's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.93 to 2.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured İskoçya.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İskoçya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yunanistan and 1.33 for İskoçya.

What was the final score of Yunanistan vs İskoçya?

Yunanistan 3-2 İskoçya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunanistan vs İskoçya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunanistan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yunanistan 47%, draw 29%, İskoçya 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunanistan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunanistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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