Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -28%
1.11/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 4-3 HT 2-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
28.02.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
20.08.2022 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 4-2 HT 2-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
26.01.2019 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 0-0 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
14.08.2018 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 4-3 HT 1-0 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İBSL
10.01.2015 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 0-1 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İNFAT
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dover Athletic and Havant & Waterlooville played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Havant & Waterlooville at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dover Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dover Athletic and 1.83 for Havant & Waterlooville.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 30%, draw 28%, Havant & Waterlooville 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Under 2.5
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