CD Aguilas 1-1 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.82
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
23.03.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
12.11.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
1-1
AWAY Orihuela
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas and Orihuela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 60% of the ball to Orihuela's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orihuela led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CD Aguilas and 0.67 for Orihuela.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Orihuela?

CD Aguilas 1-1 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 40%, draw 31%, Orihuela 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Aguilas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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