Guijuelo 0-1 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.69
-5% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
14.04.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-2 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.12.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
0-1
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril squeezed past Guijuelo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day RC Deportivo Fabril made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Guijuelo had 48% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guijuelo and 1.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Guijuelo 0-1 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 34%, draw 30%, RC Deportivo Fabril 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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