Moreirense 1-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
24%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.67
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
9%
8.85
2/X
4%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.35
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.2 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Boavista
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Boavista Boavista 0-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
09.03.2024 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
06.10.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
01.05.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Boavista Boavista POR
19.12.2021 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
19.02.2021 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-0
AWAY Boavista
1.85 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense edged past Boavista 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreirense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Moreirense had 57% of the ball to Boavista's 43%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.85 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moreirense and 1.00 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Boavista?

Moreirense 1-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 53%, draw 25%, Boavista 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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