Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes saw off Estrela 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 61% of the ball to Estrela's 39%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.67 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 54%, draw 24%, Estrela 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.