Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-3
HT 1-2
Oakland Roots
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
2-3
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 3-2 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Monterey Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 54% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 46%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monterey Bay's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.67 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots?
Monterey Bay 3-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 38%, draw 32%, Oakland Roots 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.