Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Dundalk
İRL
Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk edged past Sligo Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Dundalk had 47% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 53%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.29 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 1.67 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 61%, draw 18%, Sligo Rovers 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.