Debrecen 2-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.49
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
25.9 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ujpest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2026 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
26.10.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 5-2 HT 3-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
13.04.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
08.12.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
2-1
AWAY Ujpest
2.05 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
198 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen nicked a narrow win over Ujpest 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Debrecen had 46% of the ball to Ujpest's 54%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.05 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Debrecen and 1.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Debrecen 2-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 54%, draw 21%, Ujpest 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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