Lech Poznan 3-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Super Cup, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.56
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.05
6+
6%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.74
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
16%
4.85
X/2
10%
7.26
X/X
16%
5.0
2/1
3%
23.1
2/2
15%
5.1
2/X
5%
13.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lech Poznan The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 31%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.06
Strong Attack Strength
Bad Defense Strength
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
409 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2026 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
07.02.2026 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
02.08.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.12.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
21.07.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.03.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
3 - 1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.93 xG 1.36
3 Corners 4
REVIEW Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lech Poznan saw off Gornik Zabrze 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, expected goals 1.93 to 1.36.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.67 for Gornik Zabrze.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Lech Poznan 3 - 1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Super Cup on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 47%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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