Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Colombia - Primera, 16 Aug 2026

Atletico Nacional
vs
Santa Fe
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Colombia - Primera – 2026

Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2026 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
26.07.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.06.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
09.06.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
13.02.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
09.12.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
COMMENT Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Atletico Nacional have won 5 of their last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Santa Fe's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.17 for Santa Fe.

When do Atletico Nacional and Santa Fe play?

Atletico Nacional play Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 16/08/2026, kick-off 02:05 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Our model's prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe is a Atletico Nacional win at about 57% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Atletico Nacional 57%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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