Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional edged past Santa Fe 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Santa Fe had 40% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 60%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.28 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 2.33 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 30%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.