Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Zalgiris Vilnius v Banga Gargzdai — Team-Based Signals
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Banga Gargzdai — Actual Match Statistics
Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 46% lean on Zalgiris Vilnius didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.90, ~53%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.57, roughly 64%.
By the numbers, shots finished 19-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Zalgiris Vilnius against 1.17 for Banga Gargzdai.
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Result & Final Score
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 46%, draw 25%, Banga Gargzdai 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Under 2.5 went the other way.