Banga Gargzdai 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
52%
Away Win
46%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.42/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.15
+25% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
13.09.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
04.07.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
03.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
15.03.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
22.02.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3-0
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai swept aside Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 33% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 67%, shots finished 13-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.17 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Banga Gargzdai 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 21%, draw 28%, Zalgiris Vilnius 52%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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