TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 49%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.67
+44% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
31.08.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
26.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
02.05.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 34% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 66%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 2.00 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 29%, draw 30%, Kauno Zalgiris 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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