Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.84
No
47%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius The Market 21%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.70 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.54
0.67 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.76
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Great
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-0D-2L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.06.2026 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
18.04.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
31.08.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
26.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
02.05.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-1
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kauno Zalgiris and TransINVEST Vilnius couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kauno Zalgiris at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. Small consolation: at 1.57 (roughly 64%) the price was further off than we were.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.84, about 54%.

On the day, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius Result & Final Score

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 57%, draw 22%, TransINVEST Vilnius 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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