Monterrey vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
FC Juarez
MEK
Monterrey 6-1 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey ran out comfortable winners over FC Juarez 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.49 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Monterrey and 1.50 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs FC Juarez?
Monterrey 6-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 61%, draw 19%, FC Juarez 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.