Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 16 Aug 2026

Pumas UNAM
vs
Queretaro
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Pumas UNAM v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
422 Passes 232
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2026 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
26.07.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
20.01.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
06.11.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
27.04.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.10.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
COMMENT Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Pumas UNAM's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Queretaro.

When do Pumas UNAM and Queretaro play?

Pumas UNAM play Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 16/08/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro?

Our model's prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro is a Pumas UNAM win at about 48% probability, priced 1.82 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Pumas UNAM 48%, draw 25%, Queretaro 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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