Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Defensor Sporting
vs
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Defensor Sporting v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

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The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2026 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
30.08.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 2-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
15.06.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 4-2 HT 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
08.03.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
22.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.04.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
COMMENT Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

When do Defensor Sporting and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) play?

Defensor Sporting play Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/08/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Our model's prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) is a Defensor Sporting win at about 41% probability, priced 2.53 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Defensor Sporting 41%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 35%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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