Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Montevideo Wanderers
vs
Cerro Largo
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Montevideo Wanderers v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2026 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
13.06.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
11.03.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 4-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
19.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
COMMENT Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Montevideo Wanderers have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in just 0 of Cerro Largo's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

When do Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo play?

Montevideo Wanderers play Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/08/2026, kick-off 01:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?

Our model's prediction for Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo is a Montevideo Wanderers win at about 44% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Montevideo Wanderers 44%, draw 28%, Cerro Largo 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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