Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Aug 2026

Progreso
vs
Deportivo Maldonado
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.07.2026 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
14.02.2026 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
07.10.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-2 HT 2-0 Progreso Progreso URU
21.07.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
31.03.2024 Progreso Progreso 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
21.10.2021 Progreso Progreso 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
COMMENT Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Deportivo Maldonado.

When do Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado play?

Progreso play Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/08/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our model's prediction for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado is an Deportivo Maldonado win at about 48% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Progreso 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maldonado 48%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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